Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 154.281066 180.636050 212.133367 253.147660 306.055181 3.733317e+02 4.676156e+02
2025-02-16 119.696196 151.329834 193.664453 256.619806 352.007865 4.990831e+02 7.620316e+02
2025-02-23 100.877506 133.727161 180.965443 257.794227 388.586496 6.234655e+02 1.145354e+03
2025-03-02 89.018032 122.340874 173.013021 261.637512 428.352184 7.729775e+02 1.731728e+03
2025-03-09 80.252623 113.548268 166.551619 265.152168 467.876632 9.471364e+02 2.644625e+03
2025-03-16 71.745312 103.659858 156.191823 258.548611 484.131334 1.080335e+03 3.727239e+03
2025-03-23 67.963882 100.681467 156.755653 272.481774 551.469340 1.411455e+03 6.890835e+03
2025-03-30 61.531399 92.415462 146.551147 261.998364 555.455645 1.551890e+03 9.835419e+03
2025-04-06 57.656282 88.028483 142.727266 264.157203 594.184942 1.869337e+03 1.802337e+04
2025-04-13 53.947093 83.494914 137.928228 262.983448 623.492370 2.195657e+03 3.482939e+04
2025-04-20 52.260677 82.360814 139.520931 277.148539 708.469647 2.972003e+03 1.430204e+05
2025-04-27 51.871703 83.524222 145.868597 304.940319 860.484373 4.673699e+03 3.937020e+07
2025-05-04 48.331023 78.685454 139.614828 299.926005 894.314181 5.706835e+03 NaN
2025-05-11 45.824375 75.629924 136.887126 304.476887 976.715975 7.895546e+03 NaN
2025-05-18 43.394266 72.457043 133.411516 305.968210 1049.411232 1.083002e+04 NaN
2025-05-25 41.435650 70.016128 131.227586 310.847009 1147.469357 1.609502e+04 NaN
2025-06-01 39.644029 67.731520 129.073166 315.314650 1252.120317 2.508815e+04 NaN
2025-06-08 37.338308 64.184193 123.457264 306.925323 1272.151309 3.241650e+04 NaN
2025-06-15 36.551892 63.727383 125.269166 324.650034 1495.852485 7.964769e+04 NaN
2025-06-22 34.371142 60.136312 118.855374 311.305441 1475.005555 1.000588e+05 NaN
2025-06-29 33.093730 58.384078 116.894194 314.049322 1594.040626 2.249482e+05 NaN
2025-07-06 31.738682 56.358972 113.997420 312.557212 1679.409996 5.500329e+05 NaN
2025-07-13 31.246855 56.177061 115.880585 330.606705 1995.862967 5.298188e+07 NaN